No Carolina
W-L: (28- 8) PR = 97.4183Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) 90-42 1106 A Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 71-37 1113 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 60-78 1115 A Fairfield MAAC (29- 5, 95.8) 82-68 1120 A NC A&T CA ( 8-19, 92.2) 85-50 1123 A UNCG SO (10-16, 92.2) 94-48 1127 A So Dakota St SM (25- 7, 96.2) 83-48 1128 A Kansas St B12 (18-18, 95.8) 85-73 1129 A Columbia IVY (24- 8, 95.8) 80-63 1204 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 64-79 1207 A Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 82-40 1214 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 66-76 1217 A UNC-Wilm CA ( 6-24, 91.6) 84-34 1221 A Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 93-74 1229 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 90-39 101 A California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 71-55 104 H Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 71-77 111 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 50-73 115 A Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 73-62 118 A Florida St ACC (11-20, 94.8) 82-55 122 A Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 54-46 125 A Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 77-71 202 A NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 61-59 205 A Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 53-44 208 A Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 84-56 212 A SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 94-42 215 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 68-72 219 A Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 66-63 222 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 78-50 226 A Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 82-70 301 A Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 74-69 306 A Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 85-68 307 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 57-65 320 A We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 82-51 322 A Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 74-66 327 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 42-63
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A NC Center 90-42 48 6 0.00
1106 A Elon 71-37 34 4 0.00
1113 H UCLA 60-78 -18 -2 0.00
1115 A Fairfield 82-68 14 2 0.39
1120 A NC A&T 85-50 35 5 0.00
1123 A UNCG 94-48 46 5 0.00
1127 A So Dakota St 83-48 35 1 0.80
1128 A Kansas St 85-73 12 2 0.37
1129 A Columbia 80-63 17 2 0.38
1204 H Texas 64-79 -15 -2 -0.34
1207 A Boston Univ 82-40 42 5 0.00
1214 H Louisville 66-76 -10 0 -1.90
1217 A UNC-Wilm 84-34 50 6 0.00
1221 A Char So 93-74 19 6 0.00
1229 A Boston Col 90-39 51 5 0.00
101 A California 71-55 16 1 0.50
104 H Stanford 71-77 -6 2 - -3.70
111 H Notre Dame 50-73 -23 0 - -2.32
115 A Miami (Fl) 73-62 11 2 0.22
118 A Florida St 82-55 27 3 0.00
122 A Georgia Tech 54-46 8 2 0.00
125 A Syracuse 77-71 6 1 1.08
202 A NC State 61-59 2 1 1.22
205 A Clemson 53-44 9 1 0.67
208 A Wake Forest 84-56 28 3 0.00
212 A SMU 94-42 52 4 0.00
215 H Duke 68-72 -4 0 -1.83
219 A Va Tech 66-63 3 1 0.87
222 A Pittsburgh 78-50 28 4 0.00
226 A Virginia 82-70 12 1 0.72
301 A Duke 74-69 5 0 + 2.19
306 A Va Tech 85-68 17 1 0.87
307 H Louisville 57-65 -8 0 -1.90
320 A We Illinois 82-51 31 3 0.00
322 A Maryland 74-66 8 0 1.81
327 H Connecticut 42-63 -21 -2 -0.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 104 H Stanford 71-77 -6 2 - -3.70 111 H Notre Dame 50-73 -23 0 - -2.32 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Duke 74-69 5 0 + 2.19 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) 90-42 -8.56 2.40 0.01 0.84 4.07
3 A Elon (15-16, 93.0) 71-37 -6.87 4.09 0.01 0.84 6.91
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 60-78 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 0.84 -0.00
3 A Fairfield (29- 5, 95.8) 82-68 -4.11 6.85 0.01 0.84 11.57
3 A NC A&T ( 8-19, 92.2) 85-50 -7.73 3.23 0.01 0.84 5.46
3 A UNCG (10-16, 92.2) 94-48 -7.66 3.30 0.01 0.84 5.58
3 A So Dakota St (25- 7, 96.2) 83-48 -3.69 7.27 0.01 0.84 12.27
3 A Kansas St (18-18, 95.8) 85-73 -4.13 6.84 0.01 0.84 11.54
3 A Columbia (24- 8, 95.8) 80-63 -4.11 6.85 0.01 0.84 11.56
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 64-79 -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.84 -0.34
3 A Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 82-40 -7.34 3.62 0.01 0.84 6.11
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 66-76 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 0.84 -1.00
3 A UNC-Wilm ( 6-24, 91.6) 84-34 -8.34 2.62 0.01 0.84 4.43
3 A Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 93-74 -8.11 2.85 0.01 0.84 4.82
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 90-39 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.84 6.66
3 A California (22-14, 95.9) 71-55 -3.99 6.97 0.01 0.84 11.77
3 H Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 71-77 -4.17 6.79 -0.01 0.84 -1.76
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 50-73 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 0.84 -1.18
3 A Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 73-62 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.84 11.29
3 A Florida St (11-20, 94.8) 82-55 -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.84 9.94
3 A Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 54-46 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.84 10.51
3 A Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 77-71 -3.41 7.55 0.01 0.84 12.75
3 A NC State (21-11, 96.6) 61-59 -3.27 7.69 0.01 0.84 12.98
3 A Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 53-44 -3.82 7.14 0.01 0.84 12.06
3 A Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 84-56 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.84 8.95
3 A SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 94-42 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.84 8.15
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 68-72 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 0.84 -0.98
3 A Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 66-63 -3.62 7.34 0.01 0.84 12.39
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 78-50 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.84 6.80
3 A Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 82-70 -3.77 7.19 0.01 0.84 12.14
3 A Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 74-69 -2.30 8.66 0.01 0.84 14.61
3 A Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 85-68 -3.62 7.34 0.01 0.84 12.39
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 57-65 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 0.84 -1.00
3 A We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 82-51 -5.09 5.87 0.01 0.84 9.91
3 A Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 74-66 -2.68 8.28 0.01 0.84 13.98
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 42-63 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.84 -0.24
------
265.07
|
winning pts = 271.5894 losing points = -6.5165
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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